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Page i
International Economics
Eighteenth Edition
Thomas A. Pugel
New York University
Page ii
INTERNATIONAL ECONOMICS
Published by McGraw Hill LLC, 1325 Avenue of the Americas, New York, NY 10019.
Copyright ©2024 by McGraw Hill LLC. All rights reserved. Printed in the United States of
America. No part of this publication may be reproduced or distributed in any form or by any
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Some ancillaries, including electronic and print components, may not be available to
customers outside the United States.
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 LWI 28 27 26 25 24 23
ISBN 978-1-266-13175-2
MHID 1-266-13175-2
Cover Image: Shutterstock Images, LLC.
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mheducation.com/highered
Page iii
To my wonderful family, my dear wife Bonnie and our next generation, Gabe, Maggie,
James, and Krista. I am so grateful for the love we share.
Page iv
Mandel
Economics: The Basics
Fourth Edition
Schiller
Essentials of Economics
Twelfth Edition
PRINCIPLES OF ECONOMICS
Asarta and Butters
Principles of Economics
Colander
Economics, Microeconomics, and Macroeconomics
Twelfth Edition
Schiller
The Economy Today, The Micro Economy
Today, and The Macro Economy Today
Sixteenth Edition
Slavin
Economics, Microeconomics, and
Macroeconomics
Twelfth Edition
BUSINESS ANALYTICS
Jaggia, Kelly, Lertwachara, and Chen
Business Analytics: Communicating with Numbers
Second Edition
Richardson, Weidenmier-Watson
Introduction to Business Analytics
MANAGERIAL ECONOMICS
Baye and Prince
Managerial Economics and
Business Strategy
Tenth Edition
INTERMEDIATE ECONOMICS
Bernheim and Whinston
Microeconomics
Second Edition
Frank
Microeconomics and Behavior
Tenth Edition
ADVANCED ECONOMICS
Romer
Advanced Macroeconomics
Fifth Edition
URBAN ECONOMICS
O’Sullivan
Urban Economics
Ninth Edition
LABOR ECONOMICS
Borjas
Labor Economics
Ninth Edition
PUBLIC FINANCE
Rosen and Gayer
Public Finance
Tenth Edition
ENVIRONMENTAL ECONOMICS
Field and Field
Environmental Economics: An Introduction
Eighth Edition
INTERNATIONAL ECONOMICS
Appleyard and Field
International Economics
Ninth Edition
Pugel
International Economics
Eighteenth Edition
Page v
Thomas Pugel
Thomas A. Pugel
Thomas A. Pugel is Professor Emeritus of Economics and Global Business at the Stern
School of Business, New York University. His research and publications focus on
international industrial competition and government policies toward international trade and
industry. Professor Pugel has been Visiting Professor at Aoyama Gakuin University in Japan
and a member of the U.S. faculty at the National Center for Industrial Science and
Technology Management Development in China. He received the university-wide
Distinguished Teaching Award at New York University in 1992, twice he was voted
Professor of the Year by the graduate students at the Stern School of Business, and three
times Stern’s Executive MBA students chose him to receive their Great Professor Award. He
studied economics as an undergraduate at Michigan State University and earned a PhD in
economics from Harvard University.
Page vi
Brief Contents
1 International Economics Is Different 1
2 The Basic Theory Using Demand and Supply 16
3 Why Everybody Trades: Comparative Advantage 34
4 Trade: Factor Availability and Factor Proportions Are Key 50
5 Who Gains and Who Loses from Trade? 68
6 Scale Economies, Imperfect Competition, and Trade 88
7 Growth and Trade 117
8 Analysis of a Tariff 137
9 Nontariff Barriers to Imports 161
10 Arguments for and against Protection 193
11 Pushing Exports 225
12 Trade Blocs and Trade Blocks 254
13 Trade and the Environment 279
14 Trade Policies for Developing Countries 312
15 Multinationals and Migration: International Factor Movements 335
16 Payments among Nations 371
17 The Foreign Exchange Market 390
18 Forward Exchange and International Financial Investment 405
19 What Determines Exchange Rates? 432
20 Government Policies toward the Foreign Exchange Market 463
21 International Lending and Financial Crises 501
22 How Does the Open Macroeconomy Work? 538
23 Internal and External Balance with Fixed Exchange Rates 565
24 Floating Exchange Rates and Internal Balance 602
25 National and Global Choices: Floating Rates and the Alternatives 627
APPENDIXES
A Locating International Numbers and Other Information 655
B Deriving Production-Possibility Curves 659
C Offer Curves 664
D The Nationally Optimal Tariff 667
E Accounting for International Payments 673
F Many Parities at Once 677
G Aggregate Demand and Aggregate Supply in the Open Economy 680
H Devaluation and the Current Account Balance 690
SUGGESTED ANSWERS TO ODD-NUMBERED QUESTIONS AND
PROBLEMS 694
REFERENCES 731
INDEX 743
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Page vii
Contents
Chapter 1
International Economics Is Different 1
Four Controversies 1
The Global COVID-19 Pandemic Crisis 1
Immigration 6
Brexit 8
Switzerland’s Exchange Rate 10
Economics and the Nation-State 14
Factor Mobility 14
Different Fiscal Policies 15
Different Moneys 15
Chapter 2
The Basic Theory Using Demand and Supply 16
Four Questions about Trade 17
Demand and Supply 17
Demand 17
Consumer Surplus 19
Case Study Trade Is Important 20
Supply 21
Global Crisis The Trade Mini-Collapses of 2009 and 2020 22
Producer Surplus 24
A National Market with No Trade 25
Two National Markets and the Opening of Trade 25
Free-Trade Equilibrium 27
Effects in the Importing Country 28
Effects in the Exporting Country 30
Which Country Gains More? 30
Summary: Early Answers to the Four Trade Questions 31
Key Terms 31
Suggested Reading 31
Questions and Problems 32
Chapter 3
Why Everybody Trades: Comparative Advantage 34
Adam Smith’s Theory of Absolute Advantage 35
Case Study Mercantilism: Older Than Smith—and Alive Today 36
Ricardo’s Theory of Comparative Advantage 38
Ricardo’s Constant Costs and the Production-Possibility Curve 41
Focus on Labor Absolute Advantage Does Matter 42
Extension What If Trade Doesn’t Balance? 45
Summary 46
Key Terms 47
Suggested Reading 47
Questions and Problems 47
Chapter 4
Trade: Factor Availability and Factor Proportions Are Key 50
Production with Increasing Marginal Costs 51
What’s behind the Bowed-Out Production-Possibility Curve? 51
What Production Combination Is Actually Chosen? 53
Community Indifference Curves 54
Production and Consumption Together 56
Without Trade 56
With Trade 57
Demand and Supply Curves Again 60
The Gains from Trade 60
Trade Affects Production and Consumption 61
What Determines the Trade Pattern? 62
The Heckscher–Ohlin (H–O) Theory 63
Summary 64
Key Terms 65
Suggested Reading 65
Questions and Problems 65
Page viii
Chapter 5
Who Gains and Who Loses from Trade? 68
Who Gains and Who Loses within a Country 68
Short-Run Effects of Opening Trade 69
The Long-Run Factor-Price Response 69
Three Implications of the H–O Theory 71
The Stolper–Samuelson Theorem 71
Extension A Factor-Ratio Paradox 72
Focus on Labor U.S. Jobs and Foreign Trade 74
The Specialized-Factor Pattern 75
The Factor-Price Equalization Theorem 75
Does Heckscher–Ohlin Explain Actual Trade Patterns? 76
Case Study The Leontief Paradox 77
Factor Endowments 77
International Trade 79
Focus on China China’s Exports and Imports 81
Do Factor Prices Equalize Internationally? 83
Summary: Fuller Answers to the Four Trade Questions 83
Key Terms 85
Suggested Reading 85
Questions and Problems 85
Chapter 6
Scale Economies, Imperfect Competition, and Trade 88
Scale Economies 89
Internal Scale Economies 90
External Scale Economies 91
Intra-Industry Trade 92
How Important Is Intra-Industry Trade? 93
What Explains Intra-Industry Trade? 94
Monopolistic Competition and Trade 95
The Market with No Trade 97
Opening to Free Trade 98
Basis for Trade 99
Gains from Trade 101
Extension The Individual Firm in Monopolistic Competition 102
Oligopoly and Trade 104
Substantial Scale Economies 105
Oligopoly Pricing 105
Extension The Gravity Model of Trade 106
External Scale Economies and Trade 109
Summary: How Does Trade Really Work? 111
Key Terms 113
Suggested Reading 114
Questions and Problems 114
Chapter 7
Growth and Trade 117
Balanced versus Biased Growth 118
Growth in Only One Factor 120
Changes in the Country’s Willingness to Trade 121
Case Study The Dutch Disease and Deindustrialization 123
Effects on the Country’s Terms of Trade 124
Small Country 124
Large Country 124
Immiserizing Growth 126
Technology and Trade 128
Individual Products and the Product Cycle 129
Openness to Trade Affects Growth 130
Focus on Labor Trade, Technology, and U.S. Wages 131
Summary 132
Key Terms 133
Suggested Reading 134
Questions and Problems 134
Chapter 8
Analysis of a Tariff 137
A Preview of Conclusions 138
The Effect of a Tariff on Domestic Producers 138
Case Study The Tariff-Driven Trade War of 2018–2019 139
Extension The Effective Rate of Protection 144
The Effect of a Tariff on Domestic Consumers 146
The Tariff as Government Revenue 147
The Net National Loss from a Tariff 148
The Terms-of-Trade Effect and a Nationally Optimal Tariff 151
Case Study They Tax Exports, Too 154
Page ix
Summary 157
Key Terms 158
Suggested Reading 158
Questions and Problems 158
Chapter 9
Nontariff Barriers to Imports 161
Types of Nontariff Barriers to Imports 161
The Import Quota 163
Quota versus Tariff for a Small Country 163
Ways to Allocate Import Licenses 165
Global Governance The World Trade Organization 166
Quota versus Tariff for a Large Country 171
Extension A Domestic Monopoly Prefers a Quota 172
Voluntary Export Restraints 175
Case Study VERs: Two Examples 176
Other Nontariff Barriers 178
Product Standards 178
Domestic Content Requirements 179
Case Study Carrots Are Fruit, Snails Are Fish, and X-Men Are Not Humans 180
Government Procurement 181
How Big Are the Costs of Protection? 182
As a Percentage of GDP 182
As the Extra Cost of Helping Domestic Producers 184
International Trade Disputes 184
America’s “Section 301”: Unilateral Pressure 185
Dispute Settlement in the WTO 185
Focus on China China in the WTO 186
Summary 189
Key Terms 190
Suggested Reading 190
Questions and Problems 191
Chapter 10
Arguments for and against Protection 193
The Ideal World of First Best 194
The Realistic World of Second Best 196
Government Policies toward Externalities 197
The Specificity Rule 197
Promoting Domestic Production or Employment 198
Focus on Labor How Much Does It Cost to Protect a Job? 202
The Infant Industry Argument 202
How It Is Supposed to Work 204
How Valid Is It? 205
The Dying Industry Argument and Adjustment Assistance 207
Should the Government Intervene? 207
Trade Adjustment Assistance 209
The Developing Government (Public Revenue) Argument 210
Other Arguments for Protection: Noneconomic Objectives 210
National Pride 211
National Defense 211
Income Redistribution 212
The Politics of Protection 212
The Basic Elements of the Political–Economic Analysis 212
When Are Tariffs Unlikely? 213
When Are Tariffs Likely? 214
Case Study How Sweet It Is (or Isn’t) 216
Applications to Other Trade-Policy Patterns 217
Global Crisis Dodging Protectionism 218
Summary 220
Key Terms 221
Suggested Reading 222
Questions and Problems 222
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to the orthodox view, are only derived from the spiritual nature of
the men in question, and are to be regarded as acts of their will in
virtue of its union with the divine, are reduced to physical effects
and effluxes. The subject thus descends from the religious and
theological sphere to the natural and physical, because a man with a
power of healing resident in his body, and floating as an atmosphere
around him, would belong to the objects of natural science, and not
of religion. But natural science is not able to accredit such a healing
power by sure analogies or clear definitions; hence these cures,
being driven from the objective to the subjective region, must
receive their explanation from psychology. Now psychology, taking
into account the power of imagination and of faith, will certainly
allow the possibility that without a real curative power in the reputed
miracle-worker, solely by the strong confidence of the diseased
person that he possesses this power, bodily maladies which have a
close connexion with the nervous system may be cured: but when
we seek for historical vouchers for this possibility, criticism, which
must here be called to aid, will soon show that a far greater number
of such cures has been invented by the faith of others, than has
been performed by the parties alleged to be concerned. Thus it is in
itself by no means impossible, that through strong faith in the
healing power residing even in the clothes and handkerchiefs of
Jesus and the apostles, many sick persons on touching these articles
were conscious of real benefit; but it is at least equally probable,
that only after the death of these men, when their fame in the
church was ever on the increase, anecdotes of this kind were
believingly narrated, and it depends on the nature of the accounts,
for which of the two alternatives we are to decide. In the general
statement in the Gospels and the Acts, which speak of whole masses
having been cured in the above way, this accumulation at any rate is
traditional. As to the detailed history which we have been examining,
in its representation that the woman had suffered twelve years from
a very obstinate disease, and one the least susceptible of merely
psychical influence, and that the cure was performed by power
consciously emitted from Jesus, instead of by the imagination of the
patient: so large a portion betrays itself to be mythical that we can
no longer discern any historical elements, and must regard the
whole as legendary. [462]
It is not difficult to see what might give rise to this branch of the
evangelical miraculous legend, in distinction from others. The faith of
the popular mind, dependent on the senses, and incapable of
apprehending the divine through the medium of thought alone,
strives perpetually to draw it down into material existence. Hence,
according to a later opinion, the saint must continue to work
miracles when his bones are distributed as relics, and the body of
Christ must be present in the transubstantiated host; hence also,
according to an idea developed much earlier, the curative power of
the men celebrated in the New Testament must be attached to their
body and its coverings. The less the church retained of the words of
Jesus, the more tenaciously she clung to the efficacy of his mantle,
and the further she was removed from the free spiritual energy of
the apostle Paul, the more consolatory was the idea of carrying
home his curative energy in a pocket-handkerchief.
[Contents]
§ 98.
CURES AT A DISTANCE.
Which then represents the fact in the right way, which in the wrong?
If we take first the two synoptists by themselves, expositors with
one voice declare that Luke gives the more correct account. First of
all, it is thought improbable that the patient should have been, as
Matthew says, a paralytic, since in the case of a disease so seldom
fatal the modest centurion would scarcely have met Jesus to implore
his aid immediately on his entrance into the city: 162 as if a very
painful disease such as is described by Matthew did not render
desirable the quickest help, and as if there were any want of
modesty in asking Jesus before he reached home to utter a healing
word. Rather, the contrary relation between Matthew and Luke
seems probable from the observation, that the miracle, and
consequently also the disease of the person cured miraculously, is
never diminished in tradition but always exaggerated; hence the
tormented paralytic would more probably be heightened into one
ready to die, μέλλων τελευτᾲν, than the latter reduced to a mere
sufferer. But especially the double message in Luke is, according to
Schleiermacher, a feature very unlikely to have been invented. How
if, on the contrary, it very plainly manifested itself to be an
invention? While in Matthew the centurion, on the offer of Jesus to
accompany him, seeks to prevent him by the objection: Lord, I am
not worthy that thou shouldest come under my roof, in Luke he adds
by the mouth of his messenger, wherefore neither thought I myself
worthy to come unto thee, by which we plainly discover the
conclusion on which the second embassy was founded. If the man
declared himself unworthy that Jesus should come to him, he
cannot, it was thought, have held himself worthy to come to Jesus;
an exaggeration of his humility by which the narrative of Luke again
betrays its secondary character. The first embassy seems to have
originated in the desire to introduce a previous recommendation of
the centurion as a motive for the promptitude with which Jesus
offered to enter the house of a Gentile. The Jewish elders, after
having informed Jesus of the case of disease, add that he was
worthy for whom he should do this, for he loveth our nation and has
built us a synagogue: a recommendation the tenor of which is not
unlike what Luke (Acts x. 22 ) makes the [466]messengers of
Cornelius say to Peter to induce him to return with them, namely,
that the centurion was a just man, and one that feareth God, and in
good report among all the nation of the Jews. That the double
embassy cannot have been original, appears the most clearly from
the fact, that by it the narrative of Luke loses all coherence. In
Matthew all hangs well together: the centurion first describes to
Jesus the state of the sufferer, and either leaves it to Jesus to decide
what he shall next do, or before he prefers his request Jesus
anticipates him by the offer to go to his house, which the centurion
declines in the manner stated. Compare with this his strange
conduct in Luke: he first sends to Jesus by the Jewish elders the
request that he will come and heal his servant, but when Jesus is
actually coming, repents that he has occasioned him to do so, and
asks only for a miraculous word from Jesus. The supposition that the
first request proceeded solely from the elders and not from the
centurion 163 runs counter to the express words of the Evangelist,
who by the expressions: ἀπέστειλε—πρεσβυτέρους—ἐρωτῶν αὐτὸν,
he sent—the elders—beseeching him, represents the prayer as
coming from the centurion himself; and that the latter by the word
ἐλθὼν meant only that Jesus should come into the neighbourhood of
his house, but when he saw that Jesus intended actually to enter his
house, declined this as too great a favour,—is too absurd a
demeanour to attribute to a man who otherwise appears sensible,
and of whom for this reason so capricious a change of mind as is
implied in the text of Luke, was still less to be expected. The whole
difficulty would have been avoided, if Luke had put into the mouth of
the first messengers, as Matthew in that of the centurion, only the
entreaty, direct or indirect, for a cure in general; and then after
Jesus had offered to go to the house where the patient lay, had
attributed to the same messengers the modest rejection of this offer.
But on the one hand, he thought it requisite to furnish a motive for
the resolution of Jesus to go into the Gentile’s house; and on the
other, tradition presented him with a deprecation of this personal
trouble on the part of Jesus: he was unable to attribute the prayer
and the deprecation to the same persons, and he was therefore
obliged to contrive a second embassy. Hereby, however, the
contradiction was only apparently avoided, since both embassies are
sent by the centurion. Perhaps also the centurion who was unwilling
that Jesus should take the trouble to enter his house, reminded Luke
of the messenger who warned Jairus not to trouble the master to
enter his house, likewise after an entreaty that he would come into
the house; and as the messenger says to Jairus, according to him
and Mark, μὴ σκύλλε τὸν διδάσκαλον, trouble not the master (Luke
viii. 49 ), so here he puts into the mouth of the second envoys, the
words, κύριε μὴ σκύλλον, Lord, trouble not thyself, although such an
order has a reason only in the case of Jairus, in whose house the
state of things had been changed since the first summons by the
death of his daughter, and none at all in that of the centurion whose
servant still remained in the same state.
Modern expositors are deterred from the identification of all the
three narratives, by the fear that it may present John in the light of
a narrator who has not apprehended the scene with sufficient
accuracy, and has even mistaken its main drift. 164 Were they
nevertheless to venture on a union, they would as far as possible
vindicate to the fourth gospel the most original account of the facts;
a position of which we shall forthwith test the security, by an
examination of the intrinsic character of the narratives. That the
suppliant is according to the fourth Evangelist a βασιλικὸς, while
according to the two others he is an ἑκατόνταρχος, is an indifferent
particular from which [467]we can draw no conclusion on either side;
and it may appear to be the same with the divergency as to the
relation of the diseased person to the one who entreats his cure. If,
however, it be asked with reference to the last point, from which of
the three designations the other two could most easily have arisen?
it can scarcely be supposed that the υἱὸς of John became in a
descending line, first the doubtful term παῖς, and then δοῦλος; and
even the reverse ascending order is here less probable than the
intermediate alternative, that out of the ambiguous παῖς (= ַכַער)
there branched off in one direction the sense of servant, as in Luke;
in the other, of son, as in John. We have already remarked, that the
description of the patient’s state in John, as well as in Luke, is an
enhancement on that in Matthew, and consequently of later origin.
As regards the difference in the locality, from the point of view now
generally taken in the comparative criticism of the gospels, the
decision would doubtless be, that in the tradition from which the
synoptical writers drew, the place from which Jesus performed the
miracles was confounded with that in which the sick person lay, the
less noted Cana being absorbed in the celebrated Capernaum;
whereas John, being an eye-witness, retained the more correct
details. But the relation between the Evangelists appears to stand
thus only when John is assumed to have been an eye-witness; if the
critic seeks, as he is bound to do, to base his decision solely on the
intrinsic character of the narratives, he will arrive at a totally
different result. Here is a narrative of a cure performed at a
distance, in which the miracle appears the greater, the wider the
distance between the curer and the cured. Would oral tradition, in
propagating this narrative, have the tendency to diminish that
distance, and consequently the miracle, so that in the account of
John, who makes Jesus perform the cure at a place from which the
nobleman does not reach his son until the following day, we should
have the original narrative, in that of the synoptists on the contrary,
who represent Jesus as being in the same town with the sick
servant, the one modified by tradition? Only the converse of this
supposition can be held accordant with the nature of the legend, and
here again the narrative of John manifests itself to be a traditional
one. Again, the preciseness with which the hour of the patient’s
recovery is ascertained in the fourth gospel has a highly fictitious
appearance. The simple expression of Matthew, usually found at the
conclusion of histories of cures: he was healed in the self-same
hour, is dilated into an inquiry on the part of the father as to the
hour in which the son began to amend, an answer from the servants
that yesterday at the seventh hour the fever left him, and lastly the
result, that in the very hour in which Jesus had said, Thy son liveth,
the recovery took place. This is a solicitous accuracy, a tediousness
of calculation, that seems to bespeak the anxiety of the narrator to
establish the miracle, rather than to show the real course of the
event. In representing the βασιλικὸς as conversing personally with
Jesus, the fourth gospel has preserved the original simplicity of the
narrative better than the third; though as has been remarked, the
servants who come to meet their master in the former seem to be
representatives of Luke’s second embassy. But in the main point of
difference, relative to the character of the applicant, it might be
thought that, even according to our own standard, the preference
must be given to John before the two other narrators. For if that
narrative is the more legendary, which exhibits an effort at
aggrandizement or embellishment, it might be said that the applicant
whose faith is in John rather weak, is in Luke embellished into a
model of faith. It is not, however, on embellishment in general that
legend or the inventive narrator is bent, but on embellishment in
subservience to their grand object, which in the gospels is the
glorification of Jesus; and viewed in this light, the embellishment will
in [468]two respects be found on the side of John. First, as this
Evangelist continually aims to exhibit the pre-eminence of Jesus, by
presenting a contrast to it in the weakness of all who are brought
into communication with him, so here this purpose might be served
by representing the suppliant as weak rather than strong in faith.
The reply, however, which he puts into the mouth of Jesus, Unless
ye see signs and wonders ye will not believe, has proved too severe,
for which reason it reduces most of our commentators to perplexity.
Secondly, it might seem unsuitable that Jesus should allow himself to
be diverted from his original intention of entering the house in which
the patient was, and thus appear to be guided by external
circumstances; it might be regarded as more consistent with his
character that he should originally resolve to effect the cure at a
distance instead of being persuaded to this by another. If then, as
tradition said, the suppliant did nevertheless make a kind of
remonstrance, this must have had an opposite drift to the one in the
synoptical gospels, namely, to induce Jesus to a journey to the
house where the patient lay.
In relation to the next question, the possibility and the actual course
of the incident before us, the natural interpretation seems to find the
most pliant material in the narrative of John. Here, it is remarked,
Jesus nowhere says that he will effect the patient’s cure, he merely
assures the father that his son is out of danger (ὁ υἱός σου ζῇ), and
the father, when he finds that the favourable turn of his son’s malady
coincides with the time at which he was conversing with Jesus, in no
way draws the inference that Jesus had wrought the cure at a
distance. Hence, this history is only a proof that Jesus by means of
his profound acquaintance with semeiology, was able, on receiving a
description of the patient’s state, correctly to predict the course of
his disease; that such a description is not here given is no proof that
Jesus had not obtained it; while further this proof of knowledge is
called a σημεῖον (v. 54 ) because it was a sign of a kind of skill in
Jesus which John had not before intimated, namely, the ability to
predict the cure of one dangerously ill. 165 But, apart from the
misinterpretation of the word σημεῖον, and the interpolation of a
conversation not intimated in the text; this view of the matter would
place the character and even the understanding of Jesus in the most
equivocal light. For if we should pronounce a physician imprudent,
who in the case of a patient believed to be dying of fever, should
even from his own observation of the symptoms, guarantee a cure,
and thus risk his reputation: how much more rashly would Jesus
have acted, had he, on the mere description of a man who was not
a physician, given assurance that a disease was attended with no
danger? We cannot ascribe such conduct to him, because it would
be in direct contradiction with his general conduct, and the
impression which he left on his cotemporaries. If then Jesus merely
predicted the cure without effecting it, he must have been assured
of it in a more certain manner than by natural reasoning,—he must
have known it in a supernatural manner. This is the turn given to the
narrative by one of the most recent commentators on the gospel of
John. He puts the question, whether we have here a miracle of
knowledge or of power; and as there is no mention of an immediate
effect from the words of Jesus, while elsewhere in the fourth gospel
the superior knowledge of Jesus is especially held up to our view, he
is of opinion that Jesus, by means of his higher nature, merely knew
that at that moment the dangerous crisis of the disease was past. 166
But if our gospel frequently exhibits the superior knowledge of
Jesus, this proves nothing to the purpose, for it just as frequently
directs our attention to his [469]superior power. Further, where the
supernatural knowledge of Jesus is concerned, this is plainly stated
(as i. 49 , ii. 25 , vi. 64 ), and hence if a supernatural cognizance
of the already effected cure of the boy had been intended, John
would have made Jesus speak on this occasion as he did before to
Nathanael, and tell the father that he already saw his son on his bed
in an ameliorated state. On the contrary, not only is there no
intimation of the exercise of superior knowledge, but we are plainly
enough given to understand that there was an exercise of
miraculous power. When the sudden cure of one at the point of
death is spoken of, the immediate question is, What brought about
this unexpected change? and when a narrative which elsewhere
makes miracles follow on the word of its hero, puts into his mouth
an assurance that the patient lives, it is only the mistaken effort to
diminish the marvellous, which can prevent the admission, that in
this assurance the author means to give the cause of the cure.
§ 99.
Thus we have here, not three different incidents, but only three
different frames in which legend has preserved the memorable and
thoroughly popular aphorism on the domestic animal, to be rescued
or tended on the sabbath. Yet, unless we would deny to Jesus so
original and appropriate an argument, there must lie at the
foundation a cure of some kind actually performed by him on the
sabbath; not, however, a miraculous one. We have seen that Luke
unites the saying with the cure of a demoniacal patient: now it might
have been uttered by Jesus on the occasion of one of those cures of
demoniacs of which, under certain limitations, we have admitted the
natural possibility. Or, when Jesus in cases of illness among his
followers applied the usual medicaments without regard to the
sabbath, he may have found this appeal to the practical sense of
men needful for his vindication. Or lastly, if there be some truth in
the opinion of rationalistic commentators that Jesus, according to
the oriental and more particularly the Essene custom, occupied
himself with the cure of the body as well as of the soul, he may,
when complying with a summons to the former work on the
sabbath, have had occasion for such an apology. But in adopting this
last supposition, we must not, with these commentators, seek in the
particular supernatural cures which the gospels narrate, the natural
reality; on the contrary, we must admit that this is totally lost to us,
and that the supernatural has usurped its place. 188 Further, it cannot
have been cures in general with which that saying of Jesus was
connected; but any service performed by him or his disciples which
might be regarded as a rescuing or preservation of life, and which
was accompanied by external labour, might in his position with
respect to the Pharisaic party, furnish an occasion for such a
defence.
Of the two cures on the sabbath narrated in the fourth gospel, one
has already been considered with the cures of the blind; the other
(v. 1 ff. ) might have been numbered among the cures of paralytics,
but as the patient is not so designated, it was admissible to reserve
it for our present head. In the porches of the pool of Bethesda in
Jerusalem, Jesus found a man who, as it subsequently appears, had
been lame for thirty-eight years; this sufferer he enables by a word
to stand up and carry home his bed, but, as it was the sabbath, he
thus draws down on himself the hostility of the Jewish hierarchy.
Woolston 189 and many later writers have thought to get clear of this
history in a singular manner, by the supposition that Jesus here did
not cure a real sufferer but merely unmasked a hypocrite. 190 The
sole reason which can with any plausibility be urged in favour of this
notion, is that the cured [475]man points out Jesus to his enemies as
the one who had commanded him to carry his bed on the sabbath
(v. 15 ; comp. 11 ff. ), a circumstance which is only to be explained
on the ground that Jesus had enjoined what was unwelcome. But
that notification to the Pharisees might equally be given, either with
a friendly intention, as in the case of the man born blind (John ix.
11 , 25 ), or at least with the innocent one of devolving the
defence of the alleged violation of the sabbath on a stronger than
himself. 191 The Evangelist at least gives it as his opinion that the
man was really afflicted, and suffered from a wearisome disease,
when he describes him as having had an infirmity thirty-eight years,
τριάκοντα καὶ ὀκτὼ ἔτη ἔχων ἐν τῇ ἀσθενίᾳ (v. 5 ): for the forced
interpretation once put on this passage by Paulus, referring the
thirty-eight years to the man’s age, and not to the duration of his
disease, he has not even himself ventured to reproduce. 192 On this
view of the incident it is also impossible to explain what Jesus says
to the cured man on a subsequent meeting (v. 14 ): Behold thou art
made whole; sin no more lest a worse thing come unto thee. Even
Paulus is compelled by these words to admit that the man had a real
infirmity, though only a trifling one:—in other words he is compelled
to admit the inadequacy of the idea on which his explanation of the
incident is based, so that here again we retain a miracle, and that
not of the smallest.