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Introduction to Statistics
Through Resampling
Methods and R
Introduction to Statistics
Through Resampling
Methods and R
Second Edition
Phillip I. Good
No part of this publication may be reproduced, stored in a retrieval system, or transmitted in any
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Good, Phillip I.
Introduction to statistics through resampling methods and R / Phillip I. Good. – Second edition.
pages cm
Includes indexes.
ISBN 978-1-118-42821-4 (pbk.)
1. Resampling (Statistics) I. Title.
QA278.8.G63 2013
519.5'4–dc23
2012031774
Printed in Singapore.
10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1
Contents
Preface xi
1. Variation 1
1.1 Variation 1
1.2 Collecting Data 2
1.2.1 A Worked-Through Example 3
1.3 Summarizing Your Data 4
1.3.1 Learning to Use R 5
1.4 Reporting Your Results 7
1.4.1 Picturing Data 8
1.4.2 Better Graphics 10
1.5 Types of Data 11
1.5.1 Depicting Categorical Data 12
1.6 Displaying Multiple Variables 12
1.6.1 Entering Multiple Variables 13
1.6.2 From Observations to Questions 14
1.7 Measures of Location 15
1.7.1 Which Measure of Location? 17
1.7.2 The Geometric Mean 18
1.7.3 Estimating Precision 18
1.7.4 Estimating with the Bootstrap 19
1.8 Samples and Populations 20
1.8.1 Drawing a Random Sample 22
1.8.2 Using Data That Are Already in Spreadsheet Form 23
1.8.3 Ensuring the Sample Is Representative 23
1.9 Summary and Review 23
2. Probability 25
2.1 Probability 25
2.1.1 Events and Outcomes 27
2.1.2 Venn Diagrams 27
2.2 Binomial Trials 29
2.2.1 Permutations and Rearrangements 30
2.2.2 Programming Your Own Functions in R 32
2.2.3 Back to the Binomial 33
2.2.4 The Problem Jury 33
2.3 Conditional Probability 34
2.3.1 Market Basket Analysis 36
2.3.2 Negative Results 36
2.4 Independence 38
v
vi Contents
5. Testing Hypotheses 71
Intended for class use or self-study, the second edition of this text aspires as the first
to introduce statistical methodology to a wide audience, simply and intuitively,
through resampling from the data at hand.
The methodology proceeds from chapter to chapter from the simple to the
complex. The stress is always on concepts rather than computations. Similarly, the
R code introduced in the opening chapters is simple and straightforward; R’s com-
plexities, necessary only if one is programming one’s own R functions, are deferred
to Chapter 7 and Chapter 8.
The resampling methods—the bootstrap, decision trees, and permutation tests—
are easy to learn and easy to apply. They do not require mathematics beyond intro-
ductory high school algebra, yet are applicable to an exceptionally broad range of
subject areas.
Although introduced in the 1930s, the numerous, albeit straightforward calcula-
tions that resampling methods require were beyond the capabilities of the primitive
calculators then in use. They were soon displaced by less powerful, less accurate
approximations that made use of tables. Today, with a powerful computer on every
desktop, resampling methods have resumed their dominant role and table lookup is
an anachronism.
Physicians and physicians in training, nurses and nursing students, business
persons, business majors, research workers, and students in the biological and social
sciences will find a practical and easily grasped guide to descriptive statistics, esti-
mation, testing hypotheses, and model building.
For advanced students in astronomy, biology, dentistry, medicine, psychology,
sociology, and public health, this text can provide a first course in statistics and
quantitative reasoning.
For mathematics majors, this text will form the first course in statistics to be
followed by a second course devoted to distribution theory and asymptotic results.
Hopefully, all readers will find my objectives are the same as theirs: To use
quantitative methods to characterize, review, report on, test, estimate, and classify
findings.
Warning to the autodidact: You can master the material in this text without the
aid of an instructor. But you may not be able to grasp even the more elementary
concepts without completing the exercises. Whenever and wherever you encounter
an exercise in the text, stop your reading and complete the exercise before going
further. To simplify the task, R code and data sets may be downloaded by entering
ISBN 9781118428214 at booksupport.wiley.com and then cut and pasted into your
programs.
xi
xii Preface
I have similar advice for instructors. You can work out the exercises in class
and show every student how smart you are, but it is doubtful they will learn anything
from your efforts, much less retain the material past exam time. Success in your
teaching can be achieved only via the discovery method, that is, by having the stu-
dents work out the exercises on their own. I let my students know that the final exam
will consist solely of exercises from the book. “I may change the numbers or
combine several exercises in a single question, but if you can answer all the exercises
you will get an A.” I do not require students to submit their homework but merely
indicate that if they wish to do so, I will read and comment on what they have
submitted. When a student indicates he or she has had difficulty with an exercise,
emulating Professor Neyman I invite him or her up to the white board and give hints
until the problem has been worked out by the student.
Thirty or more exercises included in each chapter plus dozens of thought-
provoking questions in Chapter 11 will serve the needs of both classroom and self-
study. The discovery method is utilized as often as possible, and the student and
conscientious reader forced to think his or her way to a solution rather than being
able to copy the answer or apply a formula straight out of the text.
Certain questions lend themselves to in-class discussions in which all students
are encouraged to participate. Examples include Exercises 1.11, 2.7, 2.24, 2.32, 3.18,
4.1, 4.11, 6.1, 6.9, 9.7, 9.17, 9.30, and all the problems in Chapter 11.
R may be downloaded without charge for use under Windows, UNIX, or the
Macintosh from http://cran.r-project.org. For a one-quarter short course, I take stu-
dents through Chapter 1, Chapter 2, and Chapter 3. Sections preceded by an asterisk
(*) concern specialized topics and may be skipped without loss in comprehension.
We complete Chapter 4, Chapter 5, and Chapter 6 in the winter quarter, finishing
the year with Chapter 7, Chapter 8, and Chapter 9. Chapter 10 and Chapter 11 on
“Reports” and “Problem Solving” convert the text into an invaluable professional
resource.
If you find this text an easy read, then your gratitude should go to the late Cliff
Lunneborg for his many corrections and clarifications. I am deeply indebted to Rob
J. Goedman for his help with the R language, and to Brigid McDermott, Michael L.
Richardson, David Warton, Mike Moreau, Lynn Marek, Mikko Mönkkönen, Kim
Colyvas, my students at UCLA, and the students in the Introductory Statistics and
Resampling Methods courses that I offer online each quarter through the auspices
of statcourse.com for their comments and corrections.
Phillip I. Good
Huntington Beach, CA
drgood@statcourse.com
Chapter 1
Variation
1.1 VARIATION
We find physics extremely satisfying. In high school, we learned the formula S = VT,
which in symbols relates the distance traveled by an object to its velocity multiplied
by the time spent in traveling. If the speedometer says 60 mph, then in half an hour,
you are certain to travel exactly 30 mi. Except that during our morning commute,
the speed we travel is seldom constant, and the formula not really applicable. Yahoo
Maps told us it would take 45 minutes to get to our teaching assignment at UCLA.
Alas, it rained and it took us two and a half hours.
Politicians always tell us the best that can happen. If a politician had spelled
out the worst-case scenario, would the United States have gone to war in Iraq without
first gathering a great deal more information?
In college, we had Boyle’s law, V = KT/P, with its tidy relationship between the
volume V, temperature T and pressure P of a perfect gas. This is just one example
of the perfection encountered there. The problem was we could never quite duplicate
this (or any other) law in the Freshman Physics’ laboratory. Maybe it was the mea-
suring instruments, our lack of familiarity with the equipment, or simple measure-
ment error, but we kept getting different values for the constant K.
By now, we know that variation is the norm. Instead of getting a fixed, repro-
ducible volume V to correspond to a specific temperature T and pressure P, one ends
up with a distribution of values of V instead as a result of errors in measurement.
But we also know that with a large enough representative sample (defined later in
this chapter), the center and shape of this distribution are reproducible.
Introduction to Statistics Through Resampling Methods and R, Second Edition. Phillip I. Good.
© 2013 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Published 2013 by John Wiley & Sons, Inc.
1
2 Chapter 1 Variation
Here’s more good and bad news: Make astronomical, physical, or chemical
measurements and the only variation appears to be due to observational error. Pur-
chase a more expensive measuring device and get more precise measurements and
the situation will improve.
But try working with people. Anyone who spends any time in a schoolroom—
whether as a parent or as a child, soon becomes aware of the vast differences among
individuals. Our most distinct memories are of how large the girls were in the third
grade (ever been beat up by a girl?) and the trepidation we felt on the playground
whenever teams were chosen (not right field again!). Much later, in our college days,
we were to discover there were many individuals capable of devouring larger quanti-
ties of alcohol than we could without noticeable effect. And a few, mostly of other
nationalities, whom we could drink under the table.
Whether or not you imbibe, we’re sure you’ve had the opportunity to observe
the effects of alcohol on others. Some individuals take a single drink and their nose
turns red. Others can’t seem to take just one drink.
Despite these obvious differences, scheduling for outpatient radiology at many
hospitals is done by a computer program that allots exactly 15 minutes to each
patient. Well, I’ve news for them and their computer. Occasionally, the technologists
are left twiddling their thumbs. More often the waiting room is overcrowded because
of routine exams that weren’t routine or where the radiologist wanted additional
X-rays. (To say nothing of those patients who show up an hour or so early or a half
hour late.)
The majority of effort in experimental design, the focus of Chapter 6 of this
text, is devoted to finding ways in which this variation from individual to individual
won’t swamp or mask the variation that results from differences in treatment or
approach. It’s probably safe to say that what distinguishes statistics from all other
branches of applied mathematics is that it is devoted to characterizing and then
accounting for variation in the observations.
The best way to observe variation is for you, the reader, to collect some data. But
before we make some suggestions, a few words of caution are in order: 80% of the
1.2 Collecting Data 3
effort in any study goes into data collection and preparation for data collection. Any
effort you don’t expend initially goes into cleaning up the resulting mess. Or, as my
carpenter friends put it, “measure twice; cut once.”
We constantly receive letters and emails asking which statistic we would use to
rescue a misdirected study. We know of no magic formula, no secret procedure
known only to statisticians with a PhD. The operative phrase is GIGO: garbage in,
garbage out. So think carefully before you embark on your collection effort. Make
a list of possible sources of variation and see if you can eliminate any that are unre-
lated to the objectives of your study. If midway through, you think of a better
method—don’t use it.* Any inconsistency in your procedure will only add to the
undesired variation.
Let’s get started. Suppose we were to record the time taken by an individual to run
around the school track. Before turning the page to see a list of some possible sources
of variation, test yourself by writing down a list of all the factors you feel will affect
the individual’s performance. Obviously, the running time will depend upon the
individual’s sex, age, weight (for height and age), and race. It also will depend upon
the weather, as I can testify from personal experience.
Soccer referees are required to take an annual physical examination that includes
a mile and a quarter run. On a cold March day, the last time I took the exam in
Michigan, I wore a down parka. Halfway through the first lap, a light snow began
to fall that melted as soon as it touched my parka. By the third go around the track,
the down was saturated with moisture and I must have been carrying a dozen extra
pounds. Needless to say, my running speed varied considerably over the mile and a
quarter.
As we shall see in the chapter on analyzing experiments, we can’t just add the
effects of the various factors, for they often interact. Consider that Kenyan’s domi-
nate the long-distance races, while Jamaicans and African-Americans do best in
sprints.
The sex of the observer is also important. Guys and stallions run a great deal
faster if they think a maiden is watching. The equipment the observer is using is
also important: A precision stopwatch or an ordinary wrist watch? (See Table 1.1.)
Before continuing with your reading, follow through on at least one of the fol-
lowing data collection tasks or an equivalent idea of your own as we will be using
the data you collect in the very next section:
1. a. Measure the height, circumference, and weight of a dozen humans (or
dogs, or hamsters, or frogs, or crickets).
b. Alternately, date some rocks, some fossils, or some found objects.
* On the other hand, we strongly recommend you do a thorough review after all your data have been
collected and analyzed. You can and should learn from experience.
Another Random Scribd Document
with Unrelated Content
IX
THE DAWN OF INTELLIGENCE
When a baby has learned to see things clearly, and has known the
joys of handling them, it is natural that he should soon come to feel
the need of getting to them when they chance to lie beyond arm
reach. Apparently the first impulse to move the whole body does
always come from this desire to get at something; but I doubt if this
remains a very important motive throughout the whole process of
learning. There is so much in that process that is instinctive that the
baby seems to be in great part taken up and carried on by a current
of blind impulse. Then, too, the whole structure of bone, and joint,
and muscle is so fitted to certain positions and movements that in
the mere chance exercising of his limbs he is steadily brought nearer
to the great race acts of balance and locomotion.
One might suppose that with babies sprawling, creeping, and
toddling on every hand, we should not lack evidence on the
beginnings of human locomotion; but as a matter of fact, the stage
that precedes walking is involved in a good deal of confusion.
Records are scanty, and children seem to vary a good deal in their
way of going at the thing. Most of them “creep before they gang”; but
there seems to be a stage before creeping, when, if the child is given
full freedom of movement, he will get over the floor in some cruder
way, rolling, hitching, dragging himself by the elbows, humping
forward measure-worm fashion, or wriggling along like a snake.
Perhaps, as I have already suggested, this is because skirts delay
the natural beginning of creeping, and these other movements
require less freedom of the legs; perhaps there is some deeper
reason connected with race history. Sometimes the baby makes
these less efficient movements answer till walking is acquired, and
never creeps at all.
Our baby, as we have seen, had already made her first ineffective
attempts to pull herself forward and reach something; and lying face
down, unable to turn over, had so propped herself with hands and
knees that when she tried to move she almost stumbled on creeping
unawares. But soon after she was six months old, she discovered
the other half of the trick of rolling—reversing herself from front to
rear as well as from rear to front; and this gave her such an enlarged
freedom that it stopped all aspirations in other directions.
She did not deliberately turn over and over to get anywhere. She
simply rolled and kicked about the floor, turning over when she felt
like it or when she wished to reach something, highly content, and
asking odds of nobody. If by chance she turned in the same direction
a number of times in succession, she would drift halfway across the
room, meeting no end of interesting things by the way—mamma’s
slipper tips, chair rockers, table legs, waste basket, petals dropped
from the vases, and so on. It was a great enlargement of life, and
kept her happy for six or seven weeks.
During this time, her balance in sitting grew secure, so that she could
sit on the floor as long as she chose, occupied with playthings; but
she cared more for the rolling.
It was in these weeks, too, that two great new interests came into
our baby’s life. The first was a really passionate one, and it seized
her suddenly, the week after she was half a year old. The door had
just opened to admit a guest, amid a bustle of welcome, when a cry
of such desire as we had never heard from our baby in all her little
life called our attention to her. Utterly indifferent to the arrival of
company (she who had always loved a stir of coming and going, and
taken more interest in people than in anything else!) she was leaning
and looking out of the window at the dog, as if she had never seen
him before—though he had been before her eyes all her life. She
would think of nothing else; the guest, expert in charming babies,
could not get a glance.
Day after day, for weeks, the little thing was filled with excitement at
sight of the shaggy Muzhik, moving her arms and body, and crying
out with what seemed intensest joy and longing. When he came
near, her excitement increased, and she reached out and caught at
him; her face lighted with happiness when he stood close by; she
showed not the least fear when he put his rough head almost in her
face, but gazed earnestly at it; she watched for him at the window, or
from her baby carriage. No person or thing had ever interested her
so much. Muzhik, on his part, soon learned to give the snatching
little hands a wide berth; and his caution may have enhanced his
charm.
Later in the month, she showed somewhat similar excitement at
sight of a cow. About the same time, too, she first noticed the
pigeons as they flew up from the ground.
This was the beginning of a lasting interest in animals, animal
pictures, animal stories. It is not easy to account fully for this interest,
appearing in such intense degree, at so early an age. All children
show it to some extent, though in many it is mingled with a good,
deal of fear. One is tempted to connect both the fear and the interest
with race history—the intimate association of primitive man with
animals; but a six-month baby is traversing a period of development
far earlier than that of the primitive hunter. Professor Sully has some
good suggestions about the sympathy between children and
animals, but these, too, fail of application to a baby so young.
Probably to her the main charm was the movement, the rough
resemblance to people, joined with so many differences, now first
noticed with the interest of novelty—and (as later incidents made me
suspect) the quantity of convenient hair to be pulled.
The other new interest waked late in the seventh month: that joy in
outdoors that was for many months of the little one’s life her best
happiness. Up to this time, she had liked to be taken out in her baby
carriage, but mainly for the motion. Now, one morning, grandma took
her and sat down quietly on the veranda, saying that she wanted her
to learn to love the sunshine, the birds and flowers and trees, without
needing the baby carriage and its motion. The little one sat in her
lap, looking about with murmurs of delight; and after that, her
happiness in rolling about freely was much greater when we spread
a blanket on veranda or lawn, and laid her there. Within two weeks,
she would coax to be taken outdoors, and then coax till she was put
down out of arms, and left to her own happiness. She would roll
about by the hour, the most contented baby in the world, breaking
occasionally into cries and movements of overflowing joy.
I did not think that at this age the novel sights and sounds outdoors
had much to do with her pleasure; she did not yet notice them much.
Nor could it have been the wideness and freedom of outlook, for she
had not yet come to distant seeing—a hundred feet was as far as I
had ever seen her look. Later, all this counted; but now I thought that
the mere physical effect of activity in the fresh air, together with the
bright light, and perhaps the moving and playing of lights in the
leaves, must make up most of the charm.
In the early weeks of the seventh month idle baby’s rollicking spirits
were striking; in fact, she became for a time quite a little rowdy, ho-
ho-ing and laughing in loud, rough tones, snatching this way and
that, clutching at our hair with exultant shouts and clamor. In the
latter part of the month, her manners were better—indeed, it was
fully a year before I saw them as bad again; but she was much given
to seizing at our faces, flinging herself at them with cries and growls
(exactly as if she had been playing bear), and mouthing and lightly
biting them. And indeed it must be confessed that while our baby’s
behavior was often very pretty for weeks together, she had many fits
of rough play and hoydenish spirits, and our faces and hair were
never quite safe from romping attacks before she was two years old.
This boisterousness was not overflowing spirits (real joyousness
showed itself more gently) and I could never trace its psychological
origin.
At intervals during the month, she continued to improve her bodily
knowledge of herself, investigating her head and face and even the
inside of her mouth, with her fingers; she rubbed her forefinger
curiously with her thumb; she ran out her tongue and moved it about,
trying its motions and feeling her lips. And the very first day of the
month there had appeared that curious behavior that we call
“archness” and “coquetting” in a baby (though anything so grown up
as real archness or coquetry is impossible at this age), looking and
smiling at a person who was somewhat strange, but very amusing,
to her, then ducking down her head when he spoke, and hiding her
face on her mother’s shoulder. Whatever the real reason of such
behavior may be, there is plainly self-consciousness in it. So, too,
when, at seven months old, she began to try deliberately to attract
the interest of callers, wrinkling up her nose with a friendly grimace
till they paid attention to her.
Both these forms of self-consciousness were common after this.
Neither is what we could call human or rational self-consciousness.
Any dog or kitten will show them. But they certainly are something
more than mere bodily feeling of self. If we need a name for it, we
might call it a beginning of intelligent self-perception, as
distinguished both from bodily self-feeling, and rational self-
knowledge—in which the mind, years later, will say to itself clearly,
“This is I.”
We now began to suspect (as she ended her seventh month) that
the baby was beginning to connect our names with us; and when we
tried her by asking, “Where is grandpa?” or “mamma” or “aunty,” she
really did look at the right one often enough to raise a presumption
that she knew what she was about. The association of name and
person was still feeble and shaky, but it proved to be real. In a few
days it was firm as to grandpa (who was quite persona grata,
because he built up blocks for her to knock down, and carried her
about from object to object, to let her touch and examine); and in a
week or two as to the rest of us.
Professor Preyer complains of teaching babies mere tricks, which
have no real relation to their development; and certainly it is a sound
rule that self-unfolding, not teaching, is the way in which a baby
should develop in the earliest years. But Preyer’s baby learned to
wave his hand, and play “patacake,” and show “How big is baby?”
and the rest of it, just as other babies do; mammas and nurses
cannot resist it. And as long as the babies like it, I do not see that it
can do any harm, if it is not overdone. Besides, it may be said that
these standard tricks are all closely related to the sign language, and
so fall in well with the natural development at this stage. And again,
the extreme teachability of the human child is his great superiority
over the brute—all our civilization rests on it; and when the time
comes that he is capable of receiving training, it may be as well that
his power of doing so should be used a little, and that these simple
gesture tricks of immemorial nursery tradition are good exercises to
begin with. It is possible to make a fetich of “self-development,”
beyond all common sense.
At all events, as our baby approached seven months old, her
mamma had begun to teach her to wave by-by. For a couple of
weeks, the mother would hold up the little hand and wave it at the
departing guest, and before long the baby would give a feeble
waggle or two after her mother had let go; next, she would need only
to be started; and a week after she was seven months old she
waved a spontaneous farewell as I left the room. There was a long
history of the gesture after that, for it was lost and regained,
confused with other hand tricks and straightened out, and altogether
played a considerable part in the story of sign language and of
memory, which I shall not have time to relate. But at all times it paid
for itself in the delight it gave the baby: it reconciled her to almost
any parting, and even to going to bed.
Her objection to going to bed, which had been evident since the fifth
month, was because she thought sleeping was a waste of good
playtime, not because she had any associations of fear and
repugnance connected with it. She had never been left to cry herself
to sleep alone, but was rocked and sung to in good old fashion. But
she did show signs at this time of timidity and distress in waking from
sleep, clinging piteously to her mother and crying. She had waked
and cried alone a number of times, and, as I have already said, she
seemed to have formed some associations of fear in this way. But I
think there were deeper reasons for the confused distress on
waking, which from now until halfway through the third year
appeared at times.
I have spoken several times of the ease with which even we grown
people lose our sense of personal identity; and changes in brain
circulation make such confusions especially likely at first waking from
sleep. With babies, whose feeling of identity is but insecurely
established, this must be much more common; moreover, a baby’s
conditions of breathing are less regular than ours, and it is probable
that as he comes out of sleep, and the circulation and respiration of
the waking hours slowly reestablish themselves, he has all sorts of
queer, lost feelings. I was pretty sure, from our baby’s behavior I in
the next two years, that she struggled back to the firm shores of
waking consciousness through dark waters of confusion, and
needed a friendly hand to cling to. This, I suspect, is the secret of the
wild crying in the night, which doctors call “night terror”: it is not
terror, I think, but vague distress, increased by the darkness—loss of
self, of direction, of all one’s usual bodily feeling.
In these sensitive states attending sleep it is likely that some of the
emotional conditions for life are formed, and the ties between mother
and child knit firmest. My observation is that the one the baby loves
most is the one that sleeps close by, that bends over him as he
struggles confusedly back to waking, and steers him tenderly
through the valley of the shadow of sleep; and next, the one that
plays most patiently and observantly with him—not the one that
feeds him.
In her absorption in her growing bodily activity, the baby had taken
no marked steps in intellectual development, though in skill of
handling, and in ability to understand what went on about her and
put two and two together, she made steady progress. Early in the
eighth month, some definite instances of this appeared. She showed
a discreet preference at bedtime for anybody rather than her mother,
and clung vigorously round my neck or her grandfather’s when that
messenger of fate came for her. She dropped things to watch them
fall, with a persistent zeal and interest such as she had not shown in
earlier experiments of the sort. She knew what it meant if one of us
put a hat on, and pleaded with outstretched hands and springing
motion to go too. Once she found that in moving a long stick she was
moving some twigs at its farther end, and kept up the experiment
with curiosity.
It was about this time—the first fortnight of the eighth month—that
taste first became a source of pleasure to our baby. She had been
given an experimental taste of several things before, but beyond the
grimace of surprise (it looks like utmost disgust, but there seems no
doubt that it really means surprise only) with which little babies greet
new tastes, she had shown no great interest in them. Now, as
nature’s supply grew scant, she was introduced more seriously to
several supplementary foods, and at least once rejoiced over the
taste a good deal. Still, she was apt soon to tire of them, and on the
whole taste did not at any time in her first year take a large place
among her interests.
As the middle of the eighth month approached, it was evident that an
advance in power of movement was coming. The baby was getting
up on hands and knees again; she made daily a few aimless
creeping movements; and in her bath she would draw herself to her
knees, and partly to her feet, holding by the edge of the tub, and
somewhat supported by the water. A few days later she drew herself
forward a few inches, flat on her stomach, to get something. But she
still did not catch the idea of creeping, and rolling remained her great
pleasure for another fortnight.
In this fortnight, which brought our baby to eight months old, the
rolling grew very rapid and free. She would now roll over and over in
the same direction, not to get anywhere in particular (she never
learned to use rolling for that purpose), but just for fun. She varied
the exercise with the most lively kicking—heels raised in air and
brought down together with astonishing vigor and zest; and with
twisting about and getting on hands and knees, or even on hands
and feet, prattling joyously, and having a beautiful time all by herself,
for as long as the authorities would leave her alone. I have no note
or memory that she ever tired of it, or asked for attention or change;
it was always some one else who interfered, because meal-time or
nap-time or something had come.
In the last week of the month she learned to raise herself to a sitting
position; and as she could now sit up or lie down at will, she tumbled
about the floor with still more variety and enjoyment. In the same
week she began to pull herself daily quite to her feet in the tub. It
was an ordinary wooden wash-tub which was bridging the interval
between her own outgrown one and the grown-up bath-tub; and she
would stand, leaning her weight partly on her hands, on the edge of
the tub, with her feet planted wide apart, quite on the opposite side,
giving her a pretty secure base.
In this fortnight the baby’s understanding of us and feeling of
nearness to us were noticeably greater. Her attachment to her
favorites was striking. She would cling to us with all the strength of
her little arms, sometimes pressing her lips against our faces in a
primitive sort of kiss. Her desire for our attention was intense—little
arms stretched out, face full of desire, while she uttered urgent cries.
Now and then she was entirely unwilling to eat a meal till the person
she had set her heart on at the moment had yielded to her pleading,
and come to sit close beside her, for company.
She understood one or two little directions—“by-by,” and “patacake”;
or, at least, associated them with the acts. She had some idea of
what “No, no!” meant, and she knew perfectly that she must not keep
paper or flower petals in her mouth, and after biting off a bit would
put out her tongue, laughing, to have the forbidden scrap removed.
And one day when I said to her, “Don’t you want to come to aunty?”
without any gesture, she surprised me by leaning forward and
putting out her hands to me, exactly as if I had reached my arms out
for her. She could not have understood the whole question, for she
hardly understood words at all at the time; but she must have made
out “come,” and, putting it with “aunty,” which she had known for
weeks, got at my meaning.
On the day she was eight months old, at last, the baby half sprawled,
half crept, forward to get something. The early, aimless stages of
locomotion were over, and she was about to start in in good earnest
to learn to creep and to stand.
XI
CREEPING AND STANDING